fubarobfusco comments on Reply to Holden on The Singularity Institute - Less Wrong
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This is one of the 10,000 things I didn't have the space to discuss in the original post, but I'm happy to briefly address it here!
It's much harder to successfully ban AI research than to successfully ban, say, nuclear weapons. Nuclear weapons require rare and expensive fissile material that requires rare heavy equipment to manufacture. Such things can be tracked to some degree. In contrast, AI research requires... um... a few computers.
Moreover, it's really hard to tell whether the code somebody is running on a computer is potentially dangerous AI stuff or something else. Even if you magically had a monitor installed on every computer to look for dangerous AI stuff, it would have to know what "dangerous AI stuff" looks like, which is hard to do before the dangerous AI stuff is built in the first place.
The monetary, military, and political incentives to build AGI are huge, and would be extremely difficult to counteract through a worldwide ban. You couldn't enforce the ban, anyway, for the reasons given above. That's why Ben Goertzel advocates "Nanny AI," though Nanny AI may be FAI-complete, as mentioned here.
I hope that helps?
Yes.