lukeprog comments on Reply to Holden on The Singularity Institute - Less Wrong

46 Post author: lukeprog 10 July 2012 11:20PM

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Comment author: lukeprog 10 July 2012 01:27:51AM 1 point [-]

Which issue are you talking about? Is there already a comments thread about it on Eliezer's post?

Comment author: wedrifid 10 July 2012 01:39:55AM 2 points [-]

Which issue are you talking about? Is there already a comments thread about it on Eliezer's post?

Found it. It was nested too deep in a comment tree.

The particular line was:

I would ask him what he knows now, in advance, that all those sane intelligent people will miss. I don't see how you could (well-justifiedly) access that epistemic state.

The position is something I think it is best I don't mention again until (unless) I get around to writing the post "Predicting Failure Without Details" to express the position clearly with references and what limits apply to that kind of reasoning.

Comment author: Cyan 10 July 2012 01:43:25AM 7 points [-]

Isn't it just straight-up outside view prediction?