I can think of a really big example favoring model #2 within the atheist community. On the oyher hand, you and Eliezer have written so much about your views on these matters that the "detailed communication" toothpaste may not be going back in the tube. And this piece made me much more inclined to support SI, particularly the disjunctive vs. Conjunctive section which did a lot for worries raised by things Eliezer has said in the past.