brilee comments on [link] Betting on bad futures - Less Wrong

20 Post author: fortyeridania 22 September 2012 03:50PM

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Comment author: brilee 22 September 2012 06:45:26PM 10 points [-]

Alice, believing that the world will end, will spend all her money by her predicted end-of-the-world date. She will then be unable to pay back. Bob, knowing this, would never lend her the money.

Comment author: Athrelon 22 September 2012 07:36:26PM 5 points [-]

Alice will still have the human capital, in theory, to pay Bob back, though bankruptcy is an issue.

Comment author: Zaine 22 September 2012 07:42:13PM 0 points [-]

What do you mean by human capital? I imagine it involves the selling of humans in some form or other. Am I misunderstanding?

Comment author: Randaly 22 September 2012 07:44:14PM 6 points [-]

Human capital is training, skills, knowledge, etc. Essentially, the idea involves Alice then working to pay off her debts.

Comment author: Zaine 22 September 2012 11:45:30PM 1 point [-]

Ah, okay. Thank you; I'd heard it before, but for some reason this time only illicit activities came to mind.

Comment author: fortyeridania 23 September 2012 02:47:56PM *  2 points [-]
Comment author: Decius 22 September 2012 08:42:44PM 1 point [-]

Alice secures the loan with collateral. At the end of the loan, Bob keeps the collateral.

Comment author: Oscar_Cunningham 22 September 2012 08:54:12PM 3 points [-]

But then Alice would like just as much to sell the collateral and not take part in the bet.

Comment author: gwern 22 September 2012 09:41:18PM 5 points [-]

As I pointed out on the original post, if the collateral is something like a house, you can have your loan and live in it too.

Comment author: Decius 23 September 2012 02:31:18AM 1 point [-]

Only assuming the collateral has no value. I wasn't saying that Bob should take possession immediately, just a lien and/or the title.