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Jonathan_Graehl comments on Causal Diagrams and Causal Models - Less Wrong
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But not quite as damaging as rationalist case study: the ideal child-bearing age turns out to be 13 years old (advances in modern medicine, you know).
Ideal for what, exactly? Churning out the most babies in the shortest amount of time? Having a happy and well-adjusted populace? Having a long life?
Ideal is a very loaded word and using it implies that there's an obvious utility function, when there often isn't.
In any case, 13 is too young in many cases. I was being facetious.