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chaosmosis comments on Causal Diagrams and Causal Models - Less Wrong
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I just focus on understanding ideas when I'm not willing to do math work.
The rough and nontechnical explanation of this post that I've gotten is: You can't tell what causes what when you've just got two things that come together. But when you've got three things, then you can make pairs out of them, and the relationship between the pairs can tell you when something isn't causing something else. (Unless there are complicating factors like Friedman's Thermostat, see the comments below.)
But I want to do math work. My inability to think in math is a serious weakness.
Coursera's mathematical thinking class is more than half over. But I'm really enjoying it, so you might keep an eye out for repeats.
Agreed, I would like that too. Advice and resources would be nice.