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RandomThinker comments on Raising the forecasting waterline (part 2) - Less Wrong
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Good article. As a fellow GJPer, my only nitpick is that the Brier rule is a squared rule, so there is a bigger loss between 95% and 100% than just 0.05. It's not as bad as a logarithm based rule though. Also, the way they do it, the maximum loss is 2 not 1.
Look forward to the next part!