conchis comments on Hardened Problems Make Brittle Models - Less Wrong

51 Post author: cousin_it 06 May 2009 06:31PM

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Comment author: conchis 06 May 2009 07:51:11PM *  4 points [-]

I am sympathetic to the sentiment underlying this post, but I would stress that the value of "realism" depends on what you're trying to model, and why. If your purpose is to generate reasonable solutions to non-extreme problems/parlor games, then you can lose your purpose by artificially hardening your models beyond what such parlor games require. But if your purpose is to find generally-applicable decision rules that will be robust to extreme circumstances, then you can lose by failing to harden your models sufficiently.

Comment author: randallsquared 06 May 2009 09:18:04PM 6 points [-]

Is there any reason to believe that there are generally-applicable decision rules that will be robust to extreme circumstances, and yet are simple enough to use for the vast majority of non-extreme circumstances?