gwern comments on Case Study: the Death Note Script and Bayes - Less Wrong

25 Post author: gwern 04 January 2013 04:33AM

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Comment author: gwern 04 January 2013 12:47:26AM 0 points [-]

What prior probability would you give that reports of a leaked full-length script for a Hollywood movie would be true and the script genuine? In deciles:

(Deciles, since I doubt anyone really has such a prior accurate down to single percentage points...)

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