= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Unnamed comments on Case Study: the Death Note Script and Bayes - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (43)
If you took 30 people, and randomly put them into 15 pairs, then the probability that Person A would be paired with Person Z is 1/29. Person A is equally likely to be paired with any of the 29 other people.
If you took 15 women & 15 men, and randomly put them into 15 woman-man pairs, then the probability that Woman A would be paired with Man Z is 1/15. Woman A is equally likely to be paired with any of the 15 men.
The stylometrics analysis resembles the former situation, with p=1/29. The script could've been paired with any of the 29 other items.