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benelliott comments on Case Study: the Death Note Script and Bayes - Less Wrong
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On thing that struck me, using Bayes separately on all those pieces of evidence assumes independance, but it seems that conditioning on it being a fake, lots of the observations used as evidence all correlate with the faker being generally competent and fastidious, e.g. the sort of person who would get the address right is more likely to also get the authorship, formatting, PDF software and timezone right.
That was pointed out in the essay two or three times, and has already been mentioned in the comments here as well.
Ah, sorry about that. Should have read the footnotes.
Well, it was also towards the end as part of a list of reasons to not believe the final estimate.
That mentions there are 'reasons' to believe they might be correlated, still might have been worth my while to mention one such reason had that been all there was.