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beoShaffer comments on Open Thread, November 1-15, 2012 - Less Wrong
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Nate Sliver, the The Signal and The Noise guy, offers pundit a bet on the US presidential election. Apparently he's fairly confident in his mathematical model, which currently gives Obama about a 75% chance of reelection. I'm a bit wary of mentioning politics, but firm predictions with monetary backing making the news seems worth mentioning.
-edit removed extraneous comma and fixed 's'es
While you're fixing commata, why not fix the guy's name as well? :p
He was right about everything.
The publicity around this would be a good oppurtunity to promote empiricist/statistical/bayesian thinking.
I've been doing so on other web venues, and the media seems to have noticed as well.