ParagonProtege comments on Struck with a belief in Alien presence - Less Wrong

-9 [deleted] 11 November 2012 01:20AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (112)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Manfred 11 November 2012 02:10:30AM *  4 points [-]

Watched the first 15 minutes, didn't seem super convincing, so I stopped - have to put bread in the oven soon. Anyhow, it's really easy to just make shit up on television - by which I don't (just) mean lying, making things up is just a natural consequence of rationality failure. The unreliability of eyewitness testimony and all that. The only things in the first 15 minutes that weren't eyewitness were the picture and the geiger counter reading. If you go back and look at the picture, it's a shitty non-equilateral triangle made out of two things that look sort of like indentations, if we're being charitable (which really, we shouldn't be), and one thing that just looks like a stick. The geiger counter reading is reported as "10 times background," which sounds impressive if you've never held a geiger counter, but really just means a nearby rock had some potassium in it, or a dozen other possibilities.

And on the "how to handle evidence part," try checking out this: http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes

Comment author: [deleted] 11 November 2012 02:24:05AM *  6 points [-]

Anyhow, it's really easy to just make shit up on television. The unreliability of eyewitness testimony and all that.

It's especially easy to do so on TV. Anyone interested should check out this video. I have a high prior that the documentaries that the OP links to use the same sort of tricks described therein.

Comment author: wesley 11 November 2012 03:11:50AM 4 points [-]

Wow. I predict that this will significantly increase my skepticism of TV interviews. I already knew this sort of thing could be done with quotes, but was completely ignorant of how imperceptible good audio edits can be, and of the cut-away technique.

Comment author: faul_sname 12 November 2012 06:01:54AM *  2 points [-]

Anyone interested should check out this video

That is... slightly terrifying. Also extremely interesting.

Thank you for pointing that out.