ialdabaoth comments on [META] Retributive downvoting: Why? - Less Wrong

12 Post author: ialdabaoth 27 November 2012 02:24AM

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Comment author: Desrtopa 27 November 2012 02:04:00PM *  1 point [-]

I'm a bit confused that you chose this as an example, because he's clearly responding to you there rather than the other way around.

Comment author: Thomas 27 November 2012 02:37:43PM *  -1 points [-]
Comment author: Desrtopa 27 November 2012 02:40:27PM *  1 point [-]

In that case, I would guess you were downvoted either by Will Sawin, or (more likely,) one of the people who upvoted him for correcting you.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 27 November 2012 07:46:09PM 0 points [-]

Although note that in that case, although Will did find a coherent way of getting that sort of probability, if anything it underscores that Thomas's essential point there was correct: My probability estimate in that context was at best weird and more likely just poorly thought out, probably because of overcorrecting my overconfidence.