ESRogs comments on On the Importance of Systematic Biases in Science - Less Wrong

26 Post author: gwern 20 January 2013 09:39PM

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Comment author: ESRogs 22 January 2013 01:02:27AM 0 points [-]

This leads to the unfortunate consequence that the likely error of N=10 is 0.017<x<0.64956 while for N=1,000,000 it is the similar range 0.017<x<0.33433

I'm trying to follow the argument in footnote 1, but I got stuck on the above sentence -- where did these values (especially the 0.017) come from?

Comment author: gwern 22 January 2013 02:12:10AM 0 points [-]

IIRC, they're the 'plus' and the 'minus' range of the equation Jaynes gave using ±.

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