knb comments on Notes on Autonomous Cars - Less Wrong

21 Post author: gwern 24 January 2013 03:09AM

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Comment author: knb 25 January 2013 09:56:43PM 1 point [-]

Those Atlantic articles seem like bogus trend pieces. The main evidence they cite is that the percentage of car sales to youth has declined--not surprising given the aging of the population in recent decades. As for the "suburbs empty[ing] out," that isn't actually happening. Suburban populations are still rising, just relatively slowly compared to the growth of cities.

And driverless cars are a boon especially to suburban areas, since they make commuting less annoying (and potentially, much faster).

Comment author: gwern 25 January 2013 10:00:44PM 1 point [-]

Those Atlantic articles seem like bogus trend pieces.

Certainly. I think there's multiple overlapping trends feeding the final results, but the cited stats could be purely cyclical or cherrypicked.

Suburban populations are still rising, just relatively slowly compared to the growth of cities.

And the total population is still growing, which means a shift.

And driverless cars are a boon especially to suburban areas, since they make commuting less annoying (and potentially, much faster).

This can only happen after autonomous cars are accepted and widespread for ordinary driving, hence it doesn't matter to my argument about acceptance.