G0W51 comments on Bayesian Adjustment Does Not Defeat Existential Risk Charity - Less Wrong

43 Post author: steven0461 17 March 2013 08:50AM

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Comment author: G0W51 12 June 2015 05:11:23AM 1 point [-]

That said, I don't accept any of the arguments given here for why it's unacceptable to assign a very low probability to a proposition. I think there is a general confusion here between "low subjective probability that a proposition is correct" and "high confidence that a proposition isn't correct"; I don't think those two things are equivalent.

I don't think you've really explained why you don't accept the arguments in the post. Could you please explain why and how the difference between assigning low probability to something and having high confidence it's incorrect is relevant? I have several points to discuss, but I need to fully understand your argument before doing so.

And yes, I know I am practicing the dark art of post necromancy. But the discussion has largely been of great quality and I don't think your comment has been appropriately addressed.