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HumanitiesResearcher comments on Welcome to Less Wrong! (5th thread, March 2013) - Less Wrong
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Yep. It's not the Bible. I suspect that there are already good stats compiled on the Q-source, etc.
In a way it's not only futile but limiting to play the guessing game. There are lots of possible applications of Bayesian methods to the humanities. Maybe this discussion will help more projects than my own.