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ciphergoth comments on Pascal's Muggle: Infinitesimal Priors and Strong Evidence - Less Wrong
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That's just how it is when you reason about reason; Neurath's boat must be repaired while on the open sea. In this case, our instincts strongly suggest that what the decision theory seems to say we should do must be wrong, and we have to turn to the rest of our abilities and beliefs to adjudicate between them.