fubarobfusco comments on Open Thread, May 1-14, 2013 - Less Wrong

3 Post author: whpearson 01 May 2013 10:28PM

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Comment author: fubarobfusco 02 May 2013 01:24:02AM 14 points [-]

Well, I would call them "expected value" and "hindsight".

Hindsight says, "Because we got a good result, it's all good."

Expected value says, "We got lucky, and cannot expect to get lucky again."

Comment author: RichardKennaway 02 May 2013 07:02:45AM 5 points [-]

Rational Inquirer says "The world gave me a surprise. Is there something I can learn from this surprise?"

Comment author: Luke_A_Somers 02 May 2013 01:48:11PM 8 points [-]

And then it says. "We learned something about the random variables that led to that lottery draw. This doesn't generalize well."