Emile comments on Open Thread, May 1-14, 2013 - Less Wrong

3 Post author: whpearson 01 May 2013 10:28PM

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Comment author: Emile 02 May 2013 07:58:12AM 2 points [-]

Yet Another Comment Not Answering Your Question ....

Let's assume you have a one in a million chance of winning the lottery. Despite the poor chance, you pay five dollars to enter, and you win a large sum of money. Was playing the lottery the right choice?

A lot depends on whether this "large sum of money" is more or less than five million dollars.

Comment author: [deleted] 02 May 2013 12:16:48PM 4 points [-]

I guess that in most ordinary situations the utility of $5M isn't anywhere near 1M times the utility of $5.

Comment author: RolfAndreassen 02 May 2013 09:49:31PM 0 points [-]

Even with positive expected value, you may be better off passing up the bet depending on your tolerance for variance and the local shape of your utility-of-money function.