Oscar_Cunningham comments on Duller blackmail definitions - Less Wrong

7 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 15 July 2013 10:08AM

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Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 15 July 2013 02:40:30PM *  5 points [-]

I don't see where the difficulty is in distinguishing "I have $OBJECT for sale at $MONEY. Interested?" and "Nice operation you've got here, you wouldn't want anything to happen to it, would you? Just see that you do some business with me from time to time, and I can guarantee there won't be any trouble."

The difference there seems to be the default (or disagreement) point: the assumed zero of the transaction. Then any deviation from the default is seen by whether it's positive or negative. It's the difference between "pay your taxes, and the police will protect you from criminals" and "pay your taxes, and the police won't smash up your shop" (or "I can sell you this for money", vs "I can sell you back what we stole from you, for money"). In all these cases, your paying/not paying imply the same futures, but it's different because of the disagreement point.

But establishing disagreement points is a tricky task, and a contentious one. I was hoping there was a difference between threats and offers that didn't involve the disagreement point.

Comment author: RichardKennaway 15 July 2013 02:53:55PM *  0 points [-]

The difference there seems to be the default (or disagreement) point: the assumed zero of the transaction.

The zero is not assumed, but objective: the state of things before the negotiation. The blackmailer specifically intends to remove the status quo as an option; the shopkeeper merely adds an option to it. Both parties know exactly what the status quo was. It is not a default, or an assumption, or anything but an objective fact that everyone involved is agreed about. An agreement point, not a disagreement point.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 15 July 2013 03:14:48PM *  3 points [-]

It is not a default, or an assumption, or anything but an objective fact that everyone involved is agreed about.

People are rarely in agreement about what disagreement point is. Especially if various entities have had a long-standing relationship with some changes.

Comment author: RichardKennaway 15 July 2013 04:19:07PM *  1 point [-]

I can't fit this to any of the examples you gave. The Baron comes to the Countess with a threat to publish their correspondence: it is clear to both that he has unilaterally introduced a change to the status quo, to the Countess' detriment. A McGuffin owner comes to a McGuffin collector offering a McGuffin at a fixed price: it is clear to both sides that this has introduced a new option, taking no existing options away. Everyone is in agreement. What situations are you thinking of that make "rare" the clarity of this distinction between threatening to injure and not threatening to injure?

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 15 July 2013 04:38:38PM *  1 point [-]

And what about the variant when the winged sandal was going to be given to charity, but the Baron rushed in to prevent that, arriving just in time?

Here it's clear that the Baron still has legal ownership (just!), but that it's the Baron who's changing the status quo.

You could argue that a lot of law is about specifying what the disagreement point is (generally through ownership rules and contract law), but that doesn't mean that our legal system's choice of disagreement point comes from any intrinsic definition that makes sense (see the difficulty with intellectual property).

Comment author: RichardKennaway 15 July 2013 08:27:24PM *  2 points [-]

I rather lost interest in the winged sandal story, but for all the attempted complications, it remains quite clear. The Countess never owned it, and the Baron wants to secure his ownership first before offering it for sale. Whatever this is, it is not blackmail. Engrossing, forestalling, regrating, badgering, or cornering, perhaps, which aren't even illegal any more in English law.

A lot of law is about specifying exact rules. The difficulty of doing so, precisely enough to decide cases, does not imply that there is anything philosophically problematic.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 15 July 2013 04:32:11PM 0 points [-]

Ok, try my example here:

http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/i07/semiopen_thread_blackmail/9dt9

What is the status quo there? The black car, or the green car, or just a car (colour unspecified)?

Comment author: RichardKennaway 15 July 2013 08:26:47PM 0 points [-]

The agreement they had: an explicit stipulation of a car for £100, and a reasonable presumption on both sides that the car would be black. Agent A is breaking the contract by demanding more. This is not a difficult example.

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 15 July 2013 11:22:52PM *  1 point [-]

The zero is not assumed, but objective: the state of things before the negotiation.

If before the negotiation, a landslide was already closing on your (uninsured) country house, then after the negotiation the "state of things" is going towards the negative, for reasons unrelated to the negotiation. The question here is about the supposed distinction between that landslide and your opponent's decision algorithm.

Comment author: RichardKennaway 16 July 2013 12:28:35PM 0 points [-]

If before the negotiation, a landslide was already closing on your (uninsured) country house

I can't find the example this is from.

Comment author: bogdanb 15 July 2013 09:18:46PM 0 points [-]

In all these cases, your paying/not paying imply the same futures, but it's different because of the disagreement point.

I’m not sure about the others, but in the taxes/police example, the implied futures in the pay/not pay are not the same:

"pay your taxes, and the police will protect you from criminals" means if you don’t pay, P(shop smashed) = X, if you pay P(shop smashed) << X.

"pay your taxes, and the police won't smash up your shop" means if you don’t pay, P(shop smashed) = X, if you pay P(shop smashed) >> X.

(Note that X is the same for both scenarios. That is, P(shop smashed|taxes not payed) does not depend on which scenario the police chooses.)