gwern comments on Bets on an Extreme Future - Less Wrong
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I don't see why that is. Political events are not tuned for maximal randomness, they are the results of many real-world trends and forces. Is a bet on China's GDP 10 years from now really 'as far from pork bellies as you can get'? There seems to be to be a vast wealth of theories and data one could, and people do, apply to such a question to do better than a coinflip. Are Hillary Clinton's prospects for winning the next presidential election really as fundamentally unpredictable now as the winners of the next Superbowl or Superball? I don't think it is.
You do own something at the end of it: a promise to pay from the losing party. This is as much as you own if you buy a bond or T-bill or mortgage, and the fact that you can't hold a bond the way you can hold a pork belly doesn't seem to stop people.
Subsidized prediction markets are also banned. There are reasons to use a PM even with a zero-sum payout, such as hedging or entertainment. And in practice, despite the zero-sum nature, existing prediction markets like Intrade did have users.