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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on One Argument Against An Army - Less Wrong

41 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 15 August 2007 06:39PM

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Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 15 August 2007 09:41:18PM 3 points [-]

online confidence update can be no less misleading

Not if processed correctly, but, of course, if you process incorrectly anything can happen.

Million negative arguments can have negligible total effect if they happen to be dependent

Agreed. Or even if they're independent, but small; or independent, but outweighed by ten million positive evidences.