army1987 comments on Bayesianism for Humans - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (37)
It may seem trivial but then again so does the claim that P(A and B) <= P(A), and still...
In particular, I've sometimes caught myself simultaneously having aliefs like ‘if she flees, then she must be a witch’, ‘if she stays, then she must be a witch’, and ‘she may or may not be a witch, and I can't know until I see whether she flees or stays’, and until I read the post about conservation of expected evidence I never realized there was something wrong with that.