nshepperd comments on Mainstream Epistemology for LessWrong, Part 1: Feldman on Evidentialism - Less Wrong

16 Post author: ChrisHallquist 16 November 2013 04:16PM

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Comment author: nshepperd 20 November 2013 12:30:59AM 0 points [-]

it's a pointless concept for the purposes we're discussing here.

Seems to me it's not pointless, because your failure to understand it is clearly holding you back...

Why are you failing to distinguish between "P" and "a person claiming P"? They are distinct things. Snow being white has nothing to do with who or what thinks snow is white. And there's no reason anyone needs a "perfect map" to talk about truth any more than a perfect map is needed to talk about snow being white.

Comment author: hyporational 20 November 2013 02:32:04AM *  0 points [-]

Quoting Chris:

It's not a matter of assigning probability 1 to a proposition, it's a matter of the proposition actually being true.

How would you interpret "actually being true" here? Say you have evidence for a proposition that makes it 0.9 probable. How would you establish that the proposition is also true? (Understand that I'm not saying you should.)

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 20 November 2013 10:38:47AM *  2 points [-]

Interpreting the meaning of "is true" and establishing that something "is true" are two different things -- namely, semantics and epistemology. It's common in science to sidestep semantic questions with operational answers, but that doesn't necessarily work in other areas.

Comment author: hyporational 20 November 2013 12:55:42PM 1 point [-]

Can you give more examples of such sidestepping where it doesn't work?

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 20 November 2013 01:20:55PM 1 point [-]

It's more a case of noting that there is no reason for it to work everywhere, and no evidene that it works outside of special cases.

Comment author: nshepperd 20 November 2013 05:18:43AM 0 points [-]

If you have evidence that makes P 90% probable, then your evidence has established a 90% chance of P being true (which is to say, you are uncertain whether P is true or not, but you assign 90% of your probability mass to "P is true", and 10% to "P is false"). The definition of "truth" that makes this work is very simple: let "P" and "P is true" be synonymous.

Comment author: hyporational 20 November 2013 05:46:20AM 0 points [-]

I agree with you here completely. I was just wondering if particular philosophers had something more nonsensical in mind.

Comment author: somervta 20 November 2013 06:03:36AM 0 points [-]

Perhaps. For the purposes of 'knowledge', whether or not you actually have knowledge of X depends on whether or not X is true, so knowledge is dependent on more than just your state of mind.

Someone upthread asked how you can "possibly have" the information that X is true, and in a sense you can't, you can only get more certain of it.

Did any of that help?

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 20 November 2013 09:52:09AM 1 point [-]

True belief is so easily obtained that you can arrive at it by lucky guesses. Justification is difficult. Certain justification -- certainty is about justification, not accuracy -- is harder still, and may be impossible. Whether you can have information that X is true depends on whether "information" means belief, justification, knowledge or something else. Skeptics about knowledge tend to see truth as peerfect justification. Non-sceptics tend to see truth as an out-of-the-mind correspondence with thte world.

Comment author: somervta 21 November 2013 06:05:23AM 0 points [-]

Certainty is usually not considered necessary for justification. Some very few people do, but there are plenty of skeptics who are making the stronger claim that we don't have significant justification, not simply that we don't have certainty

Comment author: hyporational 21 November 2013 01:27:48AM 0 points [-]

True belief is so easily obtained that you can arrive at it by lucky guesses.

Please expand. Give us an example.

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 21 November 2013 05:20:55PM 3 points [-]

Half the people in a room believe, for no particular reason, that extraterrestrial life exists. The other half disbelieve it. Some of them will be right, but none of them know, because they have no systematic justifaction for their beliefs.

Comment author: hyporational 22 November 2013 02:48:51AM *  0 points [-]

In your opinion, does this apply even if people never encounter extraterrestial life and have no evidence for it, if there happens to be extraterrestial life?

Does the above question make sense to you? It doesn't make sense to me.

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 22 November 2013 12:12:33PM 2 points [-]

In your opinion, does this apply even if people never encounter extraterrestial life and have no evidence for it, if there happens to be extraterrestial life?

That is the realist (and, I think, common sense) attitude: that beliefs are rendered true by correspondence to chunks of reality.

Does the above question make sense to you?

Yes. I don't assume truth has to be in the head.

Comment author: hyporational 20 November 2013 07:06:55AM 0 points [-]

I think that someone was me :)

How confident was that "perhaps"? Manfred seemed to agree with me that something fishy is going on. Pragmatist then steelmanned the JTB position by approaching it probabilistically.

I'm not interested in steelmanning these philosophers, I'm interested in what they actually think. Isn't that the point of this series?

Comment author: somervta 21 November 2013 06:02:46AM 0 points [-]

The 'perhaps' was more about whether you'd find it nonsensical or not. Some people do, some don't. (For once, we actually have some related data about this, because knowledge has been a favorite subject of experimental philosophers. I'd have to look up some more studies/an analysis to be sure, but IIRC subjects were much more likely to accept the Gettier counterexamples as legitimate knowledge than philosophers).

Comment author: hyporational 20 November 2013 12:40:48AM *  0 points [-]

Why are you failing to distinguish between "P" and "a person claiming P"? They are distinct things.

I'm not, I know they're distinct things. It seems to me you misundertood me. What's with the tone?

And there's no reason anyone needs a "perfect map" to talk about truth any more than a perfect map is needed to talk about snow being white.

I know that.

Comment author: nshepperd 20 November 2013 01:16:40AM 0 points [-]

So if you agree about that, why are you saying things like

If our p 0.9 proposition coincides with what the world is actually like, then we must assume someone has a 100 % accurate model of what the world is actually like to make that claim.

How is the "if" connected to the "then" of that sentence? Your thinking isn't making any sense to me.

Comment author: hyporational 20 November 2013 01:23:06AM 0 points [-]

That quote shouldn't make sense to you, and it's not my thinking. Keep in mind I'm not endorsing a notion of truth here, I'm questioning it.

Comment author: hyporational 20 November 2013 01:54:47AM -1 points [-]

Snow being white has nothing to do with who or what thinks snow is white.

White and snow wouldn't exist without someone thinking about them so I'm not sure what you're trying to say here.

Comment author: nshepperd 20 November 2013 05:19:44AM 0 points [-]

What goes on in mountains when no-one is thinking about them...?