alex_zag_al comments on The Statistician's Fallacy - Less Wrong

38 Post author: ChrisHallquist 09 December 2013 04:48AM

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Comment author: alex_zag_al 10 December 2013 10:19:29PM *  2 points [-]

Five: They have mostly correct beliefs because they mostly do statistics correctly. This leads them to only test things with high prior probability, where they can screw up the statistics and still get the right answers. However, if they never did the statistics properly, they would drift away from these correct beliefs.