satt comments on New Year's Prediction Thread (2014) - Less Wrong

9 Post author: Thomas 01 January 2014 09:38AM

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Comment author: satt 30 January 2014 01:13:34AM 0 points [-]

Yeah, I've moved a bit towards your sort of position because of the 2013/14 results. That said, I don't have an impression of LWers being way, way smarter than other students I encounter in real life.

(I'm also still leery of the poor correlation between education level and IQ, which cropped up again in the latest survey. To go into tedious detail: among those aged ≥29, 25 people with a high school education or less gave a mean IQ of 139.5, and 155 people with more education gave a mean IQ of 140.2. And Nornagest's suggestion to look at the high end now gives a less statistically significant result than last year. The 24 oldsters with PhDs gave a mean IQ of 142.4, and the other 156 non-PhDs gave a mean IQ of 139.8.)