DanielLC comments on Anthropic Atheism - Less Wrong
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Comments (52)
It's the Sherlock Holmes Axiom that the original post was suggesting we use.
This would be SB deciding that she is randomly selected from the reference class of SBs. In other words, it's SSA, only with a much smaller reference class than I'd suggest using.
If she uses a larger reference class, she'd realize that she's about twice as likely to wake up in a room during the experiment if the coin landed on tails, and would conclude that there's a nearly 2/3 probability of the coin landing on tails.