jpet comments on Anthropic Atheism - Less Wrong

21 [deleted] 13 January 2014 05:00AM

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Comment author: jpet 16 January 2014 07:52:37AM 0 points [-]

That doesn't look right--if she just flipped H, then THT is also eliminated. So the renormalization should be:

HH: 1/2

HT: 0

THH: 1/4

THT: 0

TTH: 1/4

TTT: 0

Which means the coin doesn't actually change anything.

Comment author: DanielLC 17 January 2014 01:44:12AM 0 points [-]

In the THT case, on Monday she flips heads. Thus, if she flips heads, and has no way of knowing whether or not it's monday, she can't eliminate the possibility of THT.