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lukeprog comments on Is my view contrarian? - Less Wrong
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I agree: see footnote 1.
The 'My Approach' summary was supposed to make clear that in the end it always comes down to a "model combination and adjustment" anyway, but maybe I didn't make that clear enough.
Mm, fair enough. Maybe I'm just getting distracted by the word "contrarian".
Would another reasonable title for this sequence be "How to Correctly Update on Expert Opinion", or would that miss some nuance?