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mvp9 comments on Superintelligence Reading Group - Section 1: Past Developments and Present Capabilities - Less Wrong
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I think the best bets as of today would be truly cheap energy (whether through fusion, ubiqutious solar, etc) and nano-fabrication. Though it may not happen, we could see these play out in 20-30 year term.
The bumps from this, however would be akin to the steam engine. Dwarfed by (or possibly a result of) the AI.
The steam engine heralded the Industrial Revolution and a lasting large increase in doubling rate. I would expect a rapid economic growth after either of these inventions, followed by returning to the existing doubling rate.
After achieving a society of real abundance, further economic growth will have lost incentive.
We can argue whether or not such a society is truly reachable, even if only in the material sense. If not, because of human intractability or AGI inscrutability, progress may continue onward and upward. Perhaps here, as in happiness, it's the pursuit that counts.
Why do you expect a return to the existing doubling rate in these cases?