lalaithion comments on Crossing the History-Lessons Threshold - Less Wrong

34 Post author: lionhearted 17 October 2014 12:17AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (65)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: lalaithion 17 October 2014 05:32:59PM 3 points [-]

It would be easy to construct situations where historians could have opportunities to make and test hypotheses. Just find a section of history they don't know anything about, and give them a summary of 99 years, and ask them to predict what happens in the 100th. Or give them a summary of a couple years and ask them to fill in more complex details. Or give them descriptions of what happened on either side of a year, and ask them to figure out what happens during that year. Then see if they predict accurate things.

Comment author: Lumifer 17 October 2014 05:40:58PM *  1 point [-]

It would be easy to construct

I can't see how could that possibly work in practice. At best you'll be constructing exams for individual historians, but not tests for theories.

find a section of history they don't know anything about ... and ask them to predict

I see, um, some tension between the bolded parts... X-)