IlyaShpitser comments on Don't Be Afraid of Asking Personally Important Questions of Less Wrong - Less Wrong

48 Post author: Evan_Gaensbauer 17 March 2015 06:54AM

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Comment author: IlyaShpitser 10 December 2014 12:25:51PM *  12 points [-]

Here is what the graph looks like:

g <- [a high dimensional space representing your brain] -> success in life.

You may well be right that it may be hard to design another single variable that is a child of [...] that correlates as well with success in life as g does. And if you are in the business of prediction, g is certainly a nice dimension reduction strategy. But why one number? Why not [some other integer] numbers? Aren't you losing information? Success is super complicated. There are huge components of success not measured by tests that measure IQ (morale, ability to navigate social settings well, etc. etc. etc.)

Where it also gets iffy is where people forget that g is a parameter reduction strategy for [...], not a status marker that admits a total ordering. People talk about IQ a lot here, not sure if there is a more charitable reading of this than status talk.

Or where people start recommending policy based on a g/success correlation (recommending policy based on correlations is always a tricky business).


"g correlates with everything" is a special case of a more general thing people noticed where "everything correlates with everything."

Comment author: [deleted] 19 March 2015 08:45:32AM 3 points [-]

Also, it's a high-dimensional space with rich topological structure. The space of possible human brains is emphatically not a plain metric space.

Comment author: dxu 11 December 2014 02:45:16AM *  1 point [-]

Interesting. This of course raises the question of whether it's possible to write a hash function mapping various brain configurations to a relatively small space of hash keys. If so, then there really could be an integer parameter that correlates extremely well with everything you can do in life. Given the complexity of the brain, I somewhat doubt the feasibility of this, but it's at least interesting to think about.