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Wes_W comments on prediction and capacity to represent - Less Wrong
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Comments (19)
I don't know how cars work, but almost nothing my car does can surprise me. Only unusual one-off problems require help from somebody who knows the internal structure.
But cars are designed to be usable by laypeople, so this is maybe an unfair example.
You don't know anything about how cars work?
I have a model of what inputs produce what outputs ("pressing on the gas pedal makes the engine go; not changing the oil every few months makes things break"). I do not have a causal model of the internals of the system.
At best I can make understandish-sounding noises about engines, but I could not build or repair one, nor even identify all but the most obvious parts.