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sbenthall comments on prediction and capacity to represent - Less Wrong
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You don't know anything about how cars work?
I have a model of what inputs produce what outputs ("pressing on the gas pedal makes the engine go; not changing the oil every few months makes things break"). I do not have a causal model of the internals of the system.
At best I can make understandish-sounding noises about engines, but I could not build or repair one, nor even identify all but the most obvious parts.