satt comments on The Argument from Crisis and Pessimism Bias - Less Wrong

13 Post author: Stefan_Schubert 11 November 2014 08:25PM

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Comment author: satt 13 November 2014 07:22:35AM 1 point [-]

Turning from radicals to reactionaries, loss aversion could also support the perversity & jeopardy tropes Albert Hirschman identified in The Rhetoric of Reaction. Maybe loss aversion boxes us in from two directions: while it drives some people to conclude that things are worse than ever, it might discourage other people from trying to improve things.

Comment author: Stefan_Schubert 13 November 2014 11:35:05AM 1 point [-]

Good! Actually Kahmenan argues that loss aversion and/or status quo bias is a mighty conservationary force (in Thinking Fast and Slow). I think that is quite right - generally loss aversion should make us fearful of trying out new things. Also progress is seldom pareto optimal - even thought the majority might gain, a small minority might lose. Due to loss aversion, they will be much more vocal than those who gain - which might stop progress in its tracks (cf. various Luddite protests against new technologies).

In fact, because of loss aversion, it's hard to persuade people we need to change, in case you can't argue that things have already changed for the worse - and we need to change them back!

Comment author: satt 14 November 2014 02:50:02AM 0 points [-]

Also progress is seldom pareto optimal - even thought the majority might gain, a small minority might lose. Due to loss aversion, they will be much more vocal than those who gain - which might stop progress in its tracks (cf. various Luddite protests against new technologies).

Interesting point, hadn't thought of that.