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FrameBenignly comments on Open thread, Dec. 1 - Dec. 7, 2014 - Less Wrong
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But it's only bad because you made the mistake of updating by A2. I often notice a different problem of people to always argue A=0 and then present alternative belief C with no evidence. On some issues, we can't get a great A, but if the best evidence available points to B we should still assume it's B.
Agreed.
Agreed.
Yes, I notice that too, and I agree both that it's a problem, and that it's a different problem.