drethelin comments on Open thread, Feb. 23 - Mar. 1, 2015 - Less Wrong

3 Post author: MrMind 23 February 2015 08:01AM

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Comment author: drethelin 23 February 2015 10:41:10PM 4 points [-]

I think homogenous mass prediction gets you better calibrated at predicting the kind of questions in the sample group but doesn't help a lot otherwise. If you have ever played the the calibration game that someone made a couple years ago it's a lot like that. After using it for a while you get better and better at it, but I don't thikn that made me better calibrated in general.