Lumifer comments on Rationality Quotes Thread March 2015 - Less Wrong

8 Post author: Vaniver 02 March 2015 11:38PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 04 March 2015 09:23:29PM 2 points [-]

I'm saying that regardless of whether you have a policy of satisficing or maximizing, both methods benefit from additional time spent thinking.

Taken literally, this is obviously and trivially true. You get more resources, your solution is likely to improve.

But in the context, the benefit is not costless. Time (in particular in a chess game) is a precious resource -- to justify spending it you need cost-benefit analysis.

Your position offers no criteria and no way to figure out when you've spent enough resources (time) and should stop -- and that is the real issue at hand.

Comment author: dxu 04 March 2015 11:06:49PM *  3 points [-]

Time (in particular in a chess game) is a precious resource -- to justify spending it you need cost-benefit analysis.

Position is also a precious resource in chess. You need to structure your play so that the trade-off between time and position is optimal, and cutting off your search the moment you think of a playable move is not that trade-off. Evidence in favor:

  1. I've personally competed in several mid-to-high-level chess tournaments and have an ELO rating of 1853. Every time I've ever blundered, it's been because of a failure to give the position a second look. Furthermore, I can't recall a single time the act of giving the position a second look has ever led me to time trouble, except in the (trivial) sense that every second you use is precious.
  2. I have personally interacted with a great deal of other high-rated players, all of whom agree that you should in general think through moves carefully and not just play the first good-looking move that you see.
  3. Lasker, a world-champion-level player, was the one quoted as giving this advice, and according to Wikipedia (thanks, bentarm), the saying actually predates him. If the saying has survived this long, that's evidence in favor of it being true.

Your position offers no criteria and no way to figure out when you've spent enough resources (time) and should stop -- and that is the real issue at hand.

Nor am I claiming to offer such a way. I agree that the optimal configuration is difficult to identify, and furthermore that if it weren't so, a great deal of economics would be vastly simpler. My claim is a far weaker one: that whatever the optimal configuration is, stopping after the first solution is not it. This may sound trivial, and to a regular LW reader, it very well may be, but based on my observations, very few regular (as in not explicitly interested in self-improvement) people actually apply this advice, so it does seem important enough to merit a rationality quote dedicated to it.

Comment author: Lumifer 05 March 2015 01:12:37AM 2 points [-]

the optimal configuration is difficult to identify

By the way, in certain situations it's analytically solvable -- see e.g. here.

Comment author: dxu 05 March 2015 01:14:09AM 2 points [-]

That's really interesting. Thanks for the link!

Comment author: Lumifer 05 March 2015 01:03:12AM 1 point [-]

cutting off your search the moment you think of a playable move is not that trade-off ... stopping after the first solution is not it

You're successfully demolishing a strawman. Is anyone claiming what you are arguing against?

Comment author: [deleted] 05 March 2015 01:08:58AM 1 point [-]

Perhaps lesson is that all such sayings mere wisdom-facets, not whole diamond. Appreciate the facet for its beauty, yes, but understand that there are others, including the one most opposite on the other side...perhaps should be something generally understood in thread such as this.

Do not sense real disagreement in this conversation. Thinking has benefits, all agree, and thinking has costs, all agree...doubt Lasker himself waited to move until he knew he had the most perfect move, and yet he no doubt lost and observed others losing because of a move played too rashly....

Comment author: Lumifer 05 March 2015 01:17:11AM 1 point [-]

all such sayings mere wisdom-facets, not whole diamond

That's the optimal situation :-) Sometimes such sayings are a body part of an elephant. And occasionally -- of a donkey X-D

Comment author: dxu 05 March 2015 01:05:41AM *  0 points [-]

Is anyone claiming what you are arguing against?

No, which is why I feel Lasker's quote is a good rationality quote. If people are constantly expressing disagreement, that's evidence that something's wrong. (A decent level of disagreement is healthy, I feel, but not too much.) What happened is this: bentarm interpreted my position differently from what I intended and disagreed with his/her interpretation of my position, so I clarified said position and (hopefully) resolved the disagreement. If there's no longer anyone arguing against me, then that means I accomplished what I aimed to do.