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G0W51 comments on Open Thread, Jun. 22 - Jun. 28, 2015 - Less Wrong
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Perhaps it would be beneficial to introduce life to Mars in the hope that it could eventually evolve into intelligent life in the event that Earth becomes sterilized. There are some lifeforms on Earth that could survive on Mars. The outer space treaty would need to be amended to make this legal, though, as it currently prohibits placing life on Mars. That said, I find it doubtful that intelligent life ever would evolve from the microbes, given how extreme Mar's conditions are.
If you want to establish intelligent life on Mars, the best way to do that is by establishing a human colony. Obviously this is unlikely to succeed but trying to evolve microbes into intelligent life is less likely by far.
The likelihood of success of establishing a human colony depends on the timeframe.
If there's no major extinction event I would be surprised if we don't have a human mars colony in 1000 years. On the other hand having a colony in the next 50 years is a lot less likely.