This sounds like a case of confirmation bias. In that if your "gut feeling" was never confirmed as something, you probably wouldn't remember having the gut feeling. You could have been waiting every day for the rest of your life, and still not have gotten the gut-success feeling.
That doesn't help you recalibrate about it, but I wouldn't be listening to gut any more or less in the future.
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
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