Lumifer comments on Test Driven Thinking - Less Wrong

3 Post author: adamzerner 24 July 2015 06:38PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (26)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: Lumifer 24 July 2015 08:36:12PM *  2 points [-]

I can see two interpretations.

In one, this is equivalent to

  • Write down your forecasts and explicitly list reasons for your predictions
  • Check whether the forecast was correct
  • If it was not, re-evaluate the reasons listed in step 1.

In the other, this is just an internal consistency check: if you believe A, B, and C, make sure they can co-exist and do not contradict each other.