mwengler comments on Open thread, Dec. 14 - Dec. 20, 2015 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: MrMind 14 December 2015 08:09AM

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Comment author: mwengler 15 December 2015 03:16:10PM 0 points [-]

When doing the calculations be sure to QA your LYs. Spending an extra week lying doped up and in pain in a hospital bed may not be worth all that much. Also with medical research, you often wind up with a patented drug which then costs $1e5 per patient treated at least for the first decade or two of its use at least as used in the USA and other non-single payer countries. Or it requires $1e5 of medical professional intervention per patient to implement. My priors are that the low-hanging fruit is not in turning 90 year olds into 91 year olds, and won't be for many decades.