Vaniver comments on Open thread, Dec. 21 - Dec. 27, 2015 - Less Wrong

2 Post author: MrMind 21 December 2015 07:56AM

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Comment author: Vaniver 22 December 2015 06:28:44PM *  0 points [-]

It's not really relevant to the problem.

The relevance is that it's a really weird way to set up a problem. If P(H)=1 and P(H|A)=0.4 then it is necessarily the case that P(A)=0. If that's not immediately obvious to you, you may want to come back to this topic after sleeping on it.

Comment author: FrameBenignly 22 December 2015 06:37:09PM 0 points [-]

Fair enough.