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gjm comments on Where does our community disagree about meaningful issues? - Less Wrong
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I've noticed most LWers who bother to speak on the matter predict with high confidence a Republican win, whereas I don't see that anywhere in the realm of possibility this year. By contrast, RationalWiki is all for Sanders, it seems.
I suspect this is mostly a matter of who has bothered to speak on the matter.
(I'm outside the US and not watching closely, but FWIW I think more likely Democrat.)