JohnGreer comments on Where does our community disagree about meaningful issues? - Less Wrong

16 Post author: ChristianKl 12 February 2016 11:34AM

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Comment author: _rpd 12 February 2016 08:40:54PM 1 point [-]

predict with high confidence a Republican win

Odd since most prediction markets have a 60/40 split in favor of a Democrat winning the US presidency.

Sanders vs. Trump.

The polls have Sanders ahead in this particular matchup ...

Comment author: JohnGreer 13 February 2016 01:19:44AM 1 point [-]

Yes, I've mostly seen a Democrat favored. I bet two bitcoin on Hilary a year ago based on FiveThirtyEight's posts.