NancyLebovitz comments on Open thread, Apr. 18 - Apr. 24, 2016 - Less Wrong
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It looks like an awfully long chain of inference to me. One weak point was that other people were attacking Gleb-- it wasn't you as a lone attacker.
Note that (and this may be a flaw in my character), I was left wondering if you were right rather wanting to defend Gleb.