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Viliam comments on Open thread, Jul. 11 - Jul. 17, 2016 - Less Wrong
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This is further complicated by the fact that even the anticipation-beliefs are probabilistic. So you can have a "belief" that says "I love my sports team", and a belief that says "I expect my team to win (probability 80%)".
So in both cases it is possible for the team to lose and the person to keep their belief.