Vaniver comments on Open thread, Jul. 11 - Jul. 17, 2016 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: MrMind 11 July 2016 07:09AM

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Comment author: Vaniver 14 July 2016 02:21:40PM *  3 points [-]

The problem I see in using the past as evidence is that the further we go from our era, the more what we know is mostly made up.

Sure, quality of data degrades with distance, both in space and time. But I don't think it degrades to the point where it actually is worth throwing it all away.

How can you possibly know?

Is this a serious question, or a statement of anti-epistemology? (That is, all knowledge is uncertain, and so the right question is "how did you get to the level of uncertainty you have" rather than "how do you justify pretending that there is no uncertainty?")

Comment author: MrMind 15 July 2016 07:01:22AM 0 points [-]

But I don't think it degrades to the point where it actually is worth throwing it all away.

It's not only that data becomes more scarce. It's also that it becomes noisier. Case in point: many people believe the Gospels to be a semi-accurate narration of what happened during that era, but actually they were compiled centuries later, and historically contemporary source are both scarce and painting a completely different pictures.
The furthest we go, the higher the possibility of having bogus evidence.

Is this a serious question, or a statement of anti-epistemology?

A bit of both, I guess. A cautionary tale, but also a question I would definitely make if I were discussing with someone with that point of view.